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Selected projects

Risk and data
analysis in practice.

Six projects in insurance, underwriting and commodity risk.

Illustrative chart: a soybean price index’s observed history and simulated future scenarios, the lowest of which falls below a payout trigger set under today’s price.

01 Index insurance

Price Index Insurance — Indian Soybean & Maize

Designing parametric price contracts for one of the world's most volatile agricultural markets

Our role: Contract design
Crops: Soybean, Maize
Market: India

Index insurance
Hedging
Time-series analysis

Learn more about Price Index Insurance — Indian Soybean & Maize

02 Underwriting

Insurance ML — Underwriting & Customer Retention

Machine learning applied to underwriting analysis, customer segmentation, and retention for a high-net-worth insurer

Client: High-net-worth insurer
Market: UK
Risk: Customer churn

Demand analysis
Customer segmentation
Churn analysis

Learn more about Insurance ML — Underwriting & Customer Retention

03 Agricultural price risk

Price Index Insurance — USDA Beef & Pork

Index price insurance as a practical alternative to derivatives for US livestock producers

Client: Insurtech startup
Market: United States
Commodities: Beef, Pork

Index insurance
Hedging
Time-series analysis

Learn more about Price Index Insurance — USDA Beef & Pork

04 Commodity risk

Insurance for High-Risk Commodities — Shrimp Farming in Indonesia

The world's first actuarial feasibility study for shrimp production insurance

Market: Indonesia
Data: 26 countries studied
Risk: Production loss

Time-series analysis
Insurance pricing

Learn more about Insurance for High-Risk Commodities — Shrimp Farming in Indonesia

Illustrative chart: a petroleum product’s annual average price index over six years, with the change on the year above each bar; the largest move, a 22% fall in one year, is highlighted.

05 Hedging

Petroleum Products Price Hedging

An over-the-counter insurance contract for an illiquid oil derivative with no traded hedging market

Commodity: Vacuum resid
Market: Middle East
Service: OTC insurance agreement

Price index insurance
Hedging

Learn more about Petroleum Products Price Hedging

Illustrative chart: weekly salmon mortality across a year, rising through late summer; simulated years cluster around the average, and one simulated year carries a sharp loss event in August.

06 Catastrophic risk

Insurance for Fish Farms — Salmon & Tilapia

Pricing mortality risk for a chronically underinsured industry across five countries

Species: Atlantic salmon, Tilapia
Countries: Five
Risk: Fish stock mortality

Parametric and non-parametric modelling
Catastrophic risk
Extreme-value theory

Learn more about Insurance for Fish Farms — Salmon & Tilapia

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